
AI illustration
October 6, 2026
As I said when Canada-US trade talks broke off in August, the public got there first. Carney got there later.
Three months earlier on June 3rd the Prime Minister Mark Carney announced that he was going to override the CRTC’s decisions to slap Netflix and the Californian streamers with a CanCon cash levy fixed at 6.5% of revenues, paired with the Commission’s 8.5% investment obligation. He tried to sell this preemptive strike to Canadians as cancelling a Netflix tax they would otherwise see on their monthly subscriptions.
It was a weird political moment because “Netflix tax” began its rhetorical life as Conservative Party mantra, circa Stephen Harper. Back then, the Trudeau Liberals initially agreed with the Conservatives. No Netflix tax. But later they changed their minds and passed the Online Streaming Act.
Carney’s revival of the “Netflix tax” vocabulary was surprising. It was also disingenuous in the moment. Overruling the CRTC was a sop to the US streamers and a gullible concession to American trade pressure. To be fair to the Prime Minister, it was possible that Netflix CEO Ted Sarandos had privately threatened him in late May with a retaliatory Canadian price increase.
As I have written previously, much of what constitutes a Netflix tax is imaginary, contrived for political effect.
The CRTC’s 8.5% compulsory streamer investment in Canadian shows is for shows commissioned or licensed for distribution on their own platforms and paying subscribers. Even a large chunk of the Commission’s 6.5% cash tithe that is destined for Canadian media subsidies gets recycled to the streamers’ bottom line because it lowers the cost of the Canadian shows they license for their services.
But at least in theory some of the “Netflix tax” represents a regulatory cost the streamers would prefer to avoid. The likelihood of any amount of it being passed along to consumers depends less on what Netflix would like and more on how subscribers respond to it, what we call price elasticity. In other words, how likely is it that Netflix can succeed in passing along regulatory costs to subscribers?
The answer is that it would depend on the options Netflix subscribers have at their disposal. Those consumer options include paying up, dropping Netflix and leaning into competing services, stepping down in price tier to the streamer’s ad supported service, saving money by rotating on and off a monthly subscription, and so on.
What do Canadians think about a Netflix tax? There have been fewer public opinion polls on our willingness to pay than you might think.
In 2017, OpenMedia polled Canadians on a hypothetical 5% cultural levy on Internet service bills being passed along in its entirety to subscribers. Predictably, the poll found overwhelming hostility. The poll also asked Canadians what they thought about paying HST on their monthly subscriptions —yes, the federal sales tax wasn’t implemented until 2021— and less than a majority of Canadians were okay with it. Such is the power of pocketbook politics.
Now that Carney’s June pivot on the Online Streaming Act has provoked the Netflix tax question again, a new Pollara poll sponsored by the CMPA put it to Canadians.
Vox populi: Canadians are okay with a Netflix tax by a margin of four to one.
Who knew? Certainly not the Prime Minister.
Before your natural skepticism takes command, be advised that parsing the details of the question and polling results doesn’t change the four-to-one indictment of the Carney policy move. But they are worth summarizing anyway.
The main question about a Netflix tax included some editorializing in the question, but overall I think respondents knew what they were voting on:
Some people say the OSA will lead to higher prices, as streaming companies may increase their prices citing the required investments in Canadian shows/movies. Others argue that streaming companies have been raising their prices in Canada without any obligations under the OSA. Since these companies have raised their prices consistently, they have the revenue to meet the Act’s requirements. Others also point out that these companies operate on an international scale and already invest in Canadian shows and movies, suggesting they have both the resources and existing infrastructure to do more.
Given this, would you support or oppose the Government of Canada requiring foreign streaming companies to invest a meaningful, predictable and enforceable portion of their Canadian revenue to develop Canadian shows and movies – even if there is the risk this may lead to them raising prices?
The results are here:

Take note. The combined “support” is 67% and the combined “oppose” is 15%. Hence the four to one margin among decided respondents.
I was intrigued by the unusually high “not sure” number of 19%. It suggests to me that many respondents were honest enough to suspend judgment because of what we don’t know about price elasticity, the amount if any of a potential price increase, or what price increase Netflix thinks it could get away with.
What’s also evident from the polling results is the intensity of support, measured by “strongly support” against “somewhat support.”
That 25% “strong” versus 42% “somewhat” measurement of intensity in support on a pocketbook issue isn’t especially low, but it’s less than the high intensity of support for several other propositions about supporting the Online Streaming Act included in the Pollara poll.
Those other propositions break down into two points. The first is about support in principle for the Online Streaming Act as a tool of cultural policy. The other is support for the OSA in the face of US trade aggression.
On the policy tool itself, Canadians were asked if they support or oppose the OSA’s goal of requiring foreign streamers to “invest a portion of their Canadian revenues into the production of Canadian shows and movies, the same way traditional broadcasters must support Canadian shows and movies.”
Posing the question that way, respondents might have been thinking about the principle of equitable treatment (foreign streamers should not get a free ride) or the intrinsic merits of supporting Canadian shows and movies with the tools provided by the OSA.
Either way, polled support for the Online Streaming Act can be fairly described as overwhelming:
- Strongly Support: 41%
- Somewhat support: 45%
- Somewhat oppose: 9%
- Strongly oppose: 6%
This cumulative 86% support for the OSA, which is consistent with findings from other pollsters over the years, is not what you might have guessed by following the coverage of the OSA in the Canadian media whom over time have given full voice to news-making critics of the legislation.
A footnote to the bottom line 86% number is that this support is spread across all Canadian regions and partisan voting blocs. In fact support for the Online Streaming Act is nearly unanimous among Liberal and Bloc Québécois voters, north of 95% in each case. Carney trifles with that at his peril.
The other analytical point in the poll flows from a series of questions responding to the Trump trade war. You can see below that Pollara probed Canadian views on defending the Online Streaming Act and Canadian culture through questions posed on “Buy Canadian” and the swell of national pride in the global success of CanCon exports:

Three other more consequential questions were put to respondents.
When asked if Canada should “stand firm” on the OSA even if it “complicates” trade negotiations, the outcome was:
- Strongly support 34%
- Somewhat support 42%
- Somewhat oppose 10%
- Strongly oppose 5%
- Don’t know 11%
The cumulative 76% support versus 15% oppose is similar to how the question was answered as year ago in a previous Pollara/CMPA poll. But the intensity in popular support of standing up to the Americans (“strong” vs “somewhat”) has dropped in the intervening twelve months as trade tariffs climb and the government’s own messaging on cultural concessions has been mixed.
Another related question in the poll tests public opinion on Carney’s alternative cultural strategy, i.e. rolling back the CRTC tithes on US steamers and replacing them with $600M in federal dollars for CanCon production:

As it turns out, Canadians are a big meh on this.
Offered the policy choice, there is majority support of 56% for the CRTC’s tithes and only 20% for Carney’s $600M solution. The high rate of “not sure” suggests the final numbers could change over time.
Lastly, the poll asked what trial lawyers call a leading question.
“With Canada under threat from the United States, is it more important than ever to defend Canadian culture?”
The response was 52% in strong support, 28% somewhat support, 7% somewhat oppose, 6% strongly oppose and 7% don’t know.
That cumulative 80% in support versus 13% in opposition is not only sweeping in its judgment, but the intensity of support (strongly vs somewhat) suggests that when the Carney Liberals return to the bargaining table with Donald Trump they do not have a mandate to finesse or circumnavigate cultural sovereignty.
***
If you would like regular notifications of future posts from MediaPolicy.ca you can follow this site by signing up under the Follow button in the bottom right corner of the home page;
or sign up for a free subscription to MediaPolicy.ca on Substack;
or follow @howardalaw on X or Howard Law on LinkedIn.
I can be reached by e-mail at howard.law@bell.net.
This post is copyrighted by Howard Law, all rights reserved. 2026.












